Intenzivnost podnebnih sprememb na območjih Natura 2000 v Sloveniji

Ključne besede: analiza CVA, Natura 2000, podnebne spremembe, Slovenija

Povzetek

Evropa ima v svetovnem merilu najgostejšo mrežo zavarovanih območij. Seveda ta območja niso nič manj pod vplivov podnebnih sprememb v primerjavi z ostalimi. Skrb vzbujajoče je dejstvo, da so napovedi glede ohranjanja podnebne primernosti za vrste evropskega pomena v nekaterih Natura 2000 območjih po Evropi, v primerjavi z nezavarovanimi območji, celo slabše. Z vidika Slovenije bodo podnebnim spremembam v drugi polovici tega stoletja, po trenutnih napovedih, tako najbolj izpostavljene živalske in rastlinski vrste v omrežju Natura 2000 submediteranske in subpanonske regije.  Bolj stabilne podnebne razmere bodo v višje ležečih predelih države.  Tovrstne študije, ki ponujajo objektivno oceno vpliva podnebnih sprememb v prostoru, so še kako pomembne za upravljavce in odločevalce v zavarovanih območjih, da lahko pripravljajo in potencialno realizirajo omilitvene ukrepe na ustreznih ranljivih površinah.

Prenosi

Podatki o prenosih še niso na voljo.

Biografije avtorja

Danijel Ivajnšič, Univerza v Mariboru, Filozofska fakulteta, Oddelek za geografijo; Maribor, Slovenija.

E-naslov: dani.ivajnsic@um.si

Daša Donša

E-naslov: dasa.donsa@gmail.com 

Literatura

Araújo, M.B., Alagador, D., Cabeza, M., Nogués-Bravo, D., Thuiller, W., 2011. Climate change threatens European conservation areas. Ecology Letters, 14, 484-492. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01610.x

Bertzky, M., Dickson, B., Galt, R., Glen, E., Harley, M., Hodgson, N., Keder, G., Lysenko, I., Pooley, M., Ravilious, C., Sajwaj, T., Schiopu, R., Soye, Y., Tucker, G., 2011. Impacts of climate change and selected renewable energy infrastructures on EU biodiversity and the Natura 2000 network -Summary Report. URL: http://ec.europa.eu/environment/nature/climatechange/pdf/study.pdf .

Direktiva Sveta o ohranjanju naravnih habitatov ter prosto živečih živalskih in rastlinskih vrst (92/43/EGS). 1992. URL: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=CELEX:31992L0043:SL:HTML (16. 11. 2018).

Direktiva Sveta o hranjanju prosto živečih ptic (79/409/EGS). 1979. URL:

https://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=CELEX:31979L0409:SL:HTML (16. 11. 2018).

Eastman, J.R. 2016. TerrSet, Clark Labs-Clark University, Worcester, 45.

Ellwanger, G., Ssymank, A., Paulsch, C., 2012. Natura 2000 and Climate Change - a Challenge. Münster, Germany, Landwirtschaftsverlag, 201 str. URL:

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/278675343_Natura_2000_and_Climate_Change_-_a_Challenge.

ESRI, 2018. ArcGIS Desktop: Release 10.6. Redlands, CA: Environmental Systems Research Institute.

Foden, W.B., Butchart, S.H.M., Stuart, S.N., Vie´ J-C, Akcakaya, H.R., in sod. 2013. Identifying the World’s Most Climate Change Vulnerable Species: A Systematic

Trait-Based Assessment of all Birds, Amphibians and Corals. PLoS ONE 8(6): e65427. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0065427.

Fuller, R.A., McDonald-Madden, E., Wilson, K.A., Carwardine, J., Grantham, H.S., Watson, J.E.M. in sod. 2010. Replacing underperforming protected areas achieves better conservation outcomes. Nature, 466, 365–367. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature09180

Geoportal ARSO. Agencija RS za okolje. URL: https://gis.arso.gov.si/geoportal/catalog/main/home.page (16. 11. 2018).

Harley, M. in van Minnen., J. 2010a. Adaptation Indicators for Biodiversity. ETC/ACC. Techinical Paper 2010/15.

Harley M., Chambers, T., Hodgson, N., van Minnen, J., & Pooley, M. 2010b. A methodology for assessing the vulnerability to climate change of habitats in the Natura 2000 network. ETC/ACC Technical Paper 2010/14.

Howard, C., Stephens, P.A., Tobias, J.A., Sheard, C., Butchart, S.H.M., Willis, S.G. 2018. Flight range, fuel load and the impact of climate change on the journeys of migrant birds. Royal Society Publishing, str. 285. http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2017.2329

Johnson, R.D., Kasischke, E.S. 1998. Change vector analysis: A technique for the multispectral monitoring of land cover and condition. Internationall Journal for Remote Sensing 19(3):411–426. https://doi.org/10.1080/014311698216062

Krystufek, B., Zorenko, T.A., Bontzorlos, V., Mahmoudi, A., Atanasov, N., Ivajnšič, D. 2018. Incipient road to extinction of a keystone herbivore in south-eastern Europe: Harting’s vole (Microtus hartingi) under climate change. Climatic Change,149(3-4),443-354. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2259-2

Lilles, T.M., Kiefer, R.W., Chipman, J.W. 2004. Remote Sensing and Image Interpretation. John Wiley & Sons.

Loarie, S.R., Duffy, P.B., Hamilton, H., Asner, G.P., Field, C.B., Ackerly, D.D. 2009. The velocity of climate change. Nature, 462, 1052–1055.

Permesan, C., Yohe, G. 2003. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nature, 421, 37-42.

Peterson, A.T. 2003. Projected climate change effects on Rocky Mountain and Great Plain birds: generalities of biodiversity consequences. Global Change Biology, 9, 647–655. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00616.x

Sanderson, B.M., Knutti, R. & Caldwell, P. 2015. A Representative Democracy to Reduce Interdependency in a Multimodel Ensemble. Journal of Climate, 28, 5171–5194. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00362.1

Sajwaj T, G. Tucker, M. Harley, de Soye, Y. 2009 . Impacts of climate change and selected renewable energy infrastructures on EU biodiversity and the Natura 2000 network. Task 2a – An assessment framework for climate change vulnerability: methodology and results. AEA.

Trouwborst A. 2011. Conserving European Biodiversity in a Changing Climate: The Bern Convention, the EU Birds and Habitats Directives and the Adaptation of Nature to Climate Change, 20(1) Review of European Community and International Environmental Law, pp. 62-77.

Medmrežje 1: Natura 2000. Evropska Komisija. 2009. URL: http://ec.europa.eu/environment/nature/info/pubs/docs/nat2000/factsheet_sl.pdf (15. 11. 2018).

Medmrežje 2: Worldclim podatkovna baza. URL: http://worldclim.org/ (15.11.2018)

Medmrežje 3: Natura 2000 v Sloveniji. URL: http://www.natura2000.si/o-naturi-2000/natura-2000-v-sloveniji/ (3. 11. 2018).

Objavljeno
2018-12-31
Kako citirati
Ivajnšič D., & Donša D. (2018). Intenzivnost podnebnih sprememb na območjih Natura 2000 v Sloveniji. Revija Za Geografijo, 13(2), 59-72. https://doi.org/10.18690/rg.13.2.3712
Rubrike
Članki