The Impact of Structural Transformation on Global Value Chains in the MENA Countries

  • Nihel Frikha
  • Foued Badr Gabsi
Keywords: Global Value Chains, GMM, MENA countries, Structural transformation

Abstract

Several studies on economic transition propose that structural change in developing countries, that involves reallocating from less productive to more productive sectors, might enhance participation in global value chains (GVCs). However, there is a lack of empirical work on this claim. This study explores the factors affecting global value chain (GVC) participation in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region while considering structural transformation from 2000 to 2018. By applying the system GMM empirical research method, we found that structural change significantly contributes to facilitating the position of MENA economies under consideration. Specifically, the service and industry sectors play pivotal roles in these countries. This study also postulates that if we want to strengthen the participation of companies in GVCs, access to the internet, and a high level of education tertiary are necessary Also, environment and policies conducive to investment and direct investment abroad are important. The study posits positive commercial and financial links, and population size as important factors in promoting this position.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Antràs, P. (2020). Conceptual Aspects of Global Value Chains. World Bank Economic Review, 34(3), 551–574. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhaa006

Arnold, J. M., Javorcik, B., Lipscomb, M., & Mattoo, A. (2015). Services Reform and Manufacturing Performance: Evidence from India. The Economic Journal, 126(590), 1–39. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12206

Ayadi, R., Giovannetti, G., Marvasi, E., & Zaki, C. (2024). Trade networks and the productivity of MENA firms in global value chains. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 69, 10– 23. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2023.11.014

Busse, M., Erdogan, C., & Mühlen, H. (2019). Structural transformation and its relevance for economic growth in Sub‐Saharan Africa. Review of Development Economics, 23(1), 33–53. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12543

Busse, M., Dary, S. K., & Wüstenfeld, J. (2024). Trade liberalisation and manufacturing employment in developing countries. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 70, 410–421. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2024.05.003

Cattaneo, O., Gereffi, G., Miroudot, S., & Taglioni, D. (2013). Joining, upgrading and being competitive in global value chains: a strategic framework (Policy Research Working Paper Series 6406). The World Bank.

Chenery, H., & Taylor, L. (1968). Development Patterns: Among Countries and Over Time. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 50(4), 391–416. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1926806

Cheng, K., Rehman, S., Seneviratne, D., & Zhang, S. (2015). Reaping the Benefits from Global Value Chains (IMF Working Paper WP/15/204). Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

De Melo, J., & Twum, A. (2020). Supply chain trade in East Africa: Prospects and challenges. (also International Growth Center (IGC) report F-19103-RWA-1).

Deudibe, G., Merfeld, J., Ndoutamou, J., & Newhouse, D. (2020). Structural Transformation in Sub-Saharan Africa. World Bank Group.

Du, Y., & Agbola, F. W. (2024). Servicification and global value chain upgrading: empirical evidence from China’s manufacturing industry. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 29(2). 739–761. https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2022.2049526

Fernandes A. M., Kee, L. H., & Winkler, D. (2020). Determinants of Global Value Chain Participation: Cross-Country Evidence (CESifo Working Paper No. 8270). DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3598755

Findlay, C., & Roelfsema, H. (2023). Services trade in the ASEAN region and participation in GVCs. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 28(3), 986–1006. https://doi.org/10.1080/13547860.2021.1920658

Duernecker, G., Herrendorf, B., & Valentinyi, A. (2024). Structural Change within the Services Sector and the Future of Cost Disease. Journal of the European Economic Association, 22(1), 428–473, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/jeea/jvad030

Gölgeci, I., Gligor, D. M., Lacka, E., & Raja, J. Z. (2021). Understanding the influence of servitization on global value chains: a conceptual framework. International Journal of Operations & Production Management, 41(5), 645–667. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJOPM-08-2020-0515

Hausmann, R., Hwang, J., & Rodnik, D. (2007). What you export matters (Cid working paper no. 123). Center for international development at Harvard University.

Herrendorf, B., Rogerson, R., & Valentinyi, A. (2024). Growth and Structural Transformation. In Aghion, P., & Durlauf, S. (Eds.), Handbook of Economic Growth (pp. 855–941). Elsevier.

Hirschman, A. (1958). The Strategy of Economic Development. Yale University Press. New Haven, CT.

IMF (2016). Trade integration and global value chains in Sub-Saharan Africa in pursuit of the missing link. IMF African Department, The Departmental Paper Series. Retrieved from International Monetary Fund: https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/dp/2016/afr1602.pdf.

Allard, C., Canales-Kriljenko, I. J.; Chen, W., Gonzalez-Garcia, J., Kitsios, E., & Trevino, J. P. (2016). Trade Integration and Global Value Chains in Sub-Saharan Africa: In Pursuit of the Missing Link (IMF Departmental Papers / Policy Papers 2016/004). International Monetary Fund.

Jaud, M., & Freund C. (2015). Champions Wanted: Promoting Exports in the Middle East and North Africa. Washington, D.C., The World Bank.

Kersan-Škabić, I. (2019). The drivers of global value chain (GVC) participation in EU member states. Economic research - Ekonomska istraživanja, 32 (1), 1204–1218. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2019.1629978

Lopez-Gonzalez, J., Ugarte, C., Kowalski, P., & Ragoussis, A. (2015). Participation of Developing Countries in Global Value Chains: Implications for Trade and Trade-Related Policies (OECD Trade Policy Papers, No. 179). OECD Publishing, Paris. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1787/18166873

Kuznets, S. (1966). Modern economic growth: Rate, structure, and spread. London: Yale University Press.

Kaldor, N. (1967). Strategic Factors in Economic Development. New York: Ithaca.

Lee, W. (2018). Services Liberalization and GVC Participation: New Evidence for Heterogeneous Effects by Income Level and Provisions (World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 8475). Retrieved from https://ssrn.com/abstract=3238309

Lewis, A. (1954). Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labour. The Manchester School.

Zapisati tako: Mancini, M., Montalbano, P., Nenci, S., & Vurchio, D. (2024). Positioning in Global Value Chains: World Map and Indicators, a New Dataset Available for GVC Analyses. The World Bank Economic Review, lhae005. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhae005

McMillan, M., Rodrik, D., & Verduzco-Gallo, Í. (2014). Globalization, Structural Change, and Productivity Growth, with an Update on Africa. World Development, 63, 11–32.

Mouanda-Mouanda, G., & Gong, J. (2019). Determinants of global value chains for landlocked countries, International Journal of Social Sciences and Economic Research, 4(5), 3265-3293. Retrieved from ijsser.org/more2019.php?id=246

Myrdal, G. (1957). Economic nationalism and internationalism. Australian Institute of International Affairs.

OECD (2024). Trade in Value Added : TiVA database. Retrieved from https://www.oecd.org/industry/ind/measuring-trade-in-value-added.htm.

OCDE (2013). Economies interconnectées : comment tirer parti des chaînes de valeur mondiales.

Rostow, W. (1959). The stages of economic growth. The Economic History Review, 12(1), 1–16. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0289.1959.tb01829.x

Serigne B. L., & Fousséni, R. (2019). Développement financier et transformation structurelle des pays africains de la zone Franc : une approche panel-VAR. Revue Interventions économiques, 61. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4000/interventionseconomiques.5390

Sharma, S., & Arora, R. (2023). Macroeconomic Determinants of India’s Participation in Global Value Chains: An Empirical Evidence. Journal of Asian Economic Integration, 5(1). 7–28. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/26316846221147577

Soliman, H. A., & Elbolok, R. M. (2022). Determinants of MENA Countries Participation in Global Value Chains. Scientific Journal for Economics and Commerce, 51(3). 271–304. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21608/JSEC.2021.163356

Speakman J., & Koivisto M. (2013). Growth poles: Raising competitiveness and deepening regional integration. In Yong, K. J., Shantayanan, D., & Gai, T. (Eds.) The Africa Competitiveness Report 2013 (93–106).

Tinta, A. (2017). The determinants of participation in global value chains: The case of ECOWAS. Cogent Economics & Finance.

UNCTAD-Eora (2024). Global Value Chain Database. Retrieved from https://worldmrio.com/unctadgvc

UN-Habitat (2015). Ownership UN-habitat global activities report 2015 increasing synergy for greater national ownership. UNON Publishing Services Section, Nairobi.

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (2013). Global Value Chains and Development. United Nations.

World Bank (2020). World Development Report 2020: Trading for Development in the Age of Global Value Chains. World Bank Group.

World Bank (2024). World Development Indicators Data Bank. Retrieved from https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators

Wu, K., Chen, F., Anwar, S., & Liao, L. (2024). The Impact of Population Aging on a Country’s Global Value Chain Position: Unraveling the Dynamics and Mechanisms. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 1–22. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2023.2300636

Published
2024-06-28
How to Cite
Frikha N., & Gabsi F. B. (2024). The Impact of Structural Transformation on Global Value Chains in the MENA Countries. Naše gospodarstvo/Our Economy, 70(2), 1-11. https://doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2024-0007